In my 23 years in business, I've released 5,731 premium NFL Football picks to my paying clients.
I show every single one here - the good, the bad, and the ugly - because I value 100% transparency regarding my pick results.
These pages verify the results I promote match the picks I release.
Season:
Week:
Super Bowl Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Seattle at Pittsburgh
February 5, 2006
6:20 PM Eastern
When the season began, many expected Seattle to represent the NFC in this game. They didn't disappoint, cruising to a 13-3 regular season record and dispos...
3 units on Pittsburgh -4 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Conference Finals Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Carolina at Seattle
January 22, 2006
6:30 PM Eastern
Respect continues to elude the Seahawks. They are mere 4 point favorites at home in this one against Carolina. Part of it is due to Carolina playing such goo...
2 units on Seattle -3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Pittsburgh at Denver
January 22, 2006
3:00 PM Eastern
The Denver Broncos are relieved. Wouldn't you be? Before Pittsburgh upended the Colts, Denver was headed to Indianapolis this weekend - a place they lost the...
2 units on Pittsburgh +3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Divisional Playoffs Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Carolina at Chicago
January 15, 2006
4:30 PM Eastern
Carolina certainly impressed last week. They shut out their host and litterally ran all over them. Can they repeat that performance this week? It's going to ...
1 unit on Chicago -2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Carolina at Chicago
January 15, 2006
4:30 PM Eastern
Carolina certainly impressed last week. They shut out their host and litterally ran all over them. Can they repeat that performance this week? It's going to ...
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 30.5 -110
See Full Write Up
New England at Denver
January 14, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Tough one here. How do you go against either of these teams? Everyone can come up with arguments to back either. But, in all honesty, who wants to go against...
2 units on Denver -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Washington at Seattle
January 14, 2006
4:30 PM Eastern
Afraid of laying nine here? No worries. This appears to be the easiest pick of the weekend. Seattle should absolutely crush the Skins. There are generally tw...
4 units on Seattle -9 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Wildcard Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
January 8, 2006
4:30 PM Eastern
On paper, this is all Pitsburgh. They have the statistical advantage in every defensive category as well as the rushing game on offense. They steamroll into ...
3 units on Cincinnati +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Carolina at New York
January 8, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
How good is this Giants team? Overall they were 11-5 on the season and 10-5 ATS. Very good. But wait. Let's take a look at home/away. In the Meadowlands thes...
2 units on New York -2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Jacksonville at New England
January 7, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Who wants a piece of New England? No one right now. Especially not at home. New England actually has a chip on their shoulder as they are talking about makin...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 37.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Washington at Tampa Bay
January 7, 2006
4:30 PM Eastern
The Skins took a 5-6 midseason record and turned it into 10-6 final record as they come storming into the playoffs. Tampa finished the regular season a bit b...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 37 -110
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Week 17 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
St. Louis at Dallas
January 1, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
In what will be the final 2005 regular season game, the Cowboys are instilled as huge favorites over the troubled Rams. I've bashed the Rams here enough so I...
2 units on Game Total OVER 43.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Baltimore at Cleveland
January 1, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Both of these teams are out of the playoffs so we really don't have anything too strange about this game. Yet, somehow we get a division home underdog with a...
2 units on Cleveland +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Buffalo at New York
January 1, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Bills pulled off an impressive victory over Cincinnati last week. All of the public squares who laid a couple of house payments on the Bengals now want a...
2 units on New York +1.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Cincinnati at Kansas City
January 1, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
OK, let's face it. Neither of these teams will have anything to play for here. Cincinatti wrapped up the AFC North weeks ago and threw away their shot at a f...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 46 -110
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
New Orleans at Tampa Bay
January 1, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Bucs rank 8th in the league in scoring defense, 4th in yards per play given up and 2nd in total yards allowed (behind Chicago by only a smidgeon). Think ...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 37.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Baltimore at Cleveland
January 1, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Both of these teams are out of the playoffs so we really don't have anything too strange about this game. Yet, somehow we get a division home underdog with a...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 37 -110
See Full Write Up
Week 16 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
New England at New York
December 26, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
Somehow this line opened at -4 and it seemed very weird to me. Low and behold, it has move to -7 and could climb higher throughout the day on Monday. This li...
2 units on New England -7 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Indianapolis at Seattle
December 24, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
So much for a great matchup. With Indy's loss last week, the luster on this game has has worn off quickly. It would have been a potential Super Bowl matchup ...
2 units on Game Total OVER 42.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Philadelphia at Arizona
December 24, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
We were on Philly as our top-rated play last week. They were facing a terrible St. Louis team with an awful defense and getting over a field goal. Philly pul...
2 units on Arizona -1 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Los Angeles at Kansas City
December 24, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
San Diego is off the most impressive win of the season in the NFL. As big dogs they went into Indy and knocked off the undefeated Colts. How many people real...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 50 -110
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
New York at Washington
December 24, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Arguably t he most embarrasing loss of this NFL season happened in week 8. Washington, at 4-2 and coming off a 52-17 trouncing of San Francisco, went into th...
2 units on Washington -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 15 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Green Bay at Baltimore
December 19, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
Tough side to call here as I really don't want to be betting on either of these two teams. Baltimore has been terrible and how Kyle Boller STILL has a job is...
3 units on Game Total UNDER 34 -110
See Full Write Up
Cincinnati at Detroit
December 18, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
Yeah, this one takes heart. It's hard to back Detroit and hard to go against Cincinnati. But, the Bengals have shown a propensity to play down to their compe...
1 unit on Detroit +8 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Philadelphia at St. Louis
December 18, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
In a "who cares" game between two non-playoff teams, sparks should fly. These teams have nothing of significance to play for and as a result, they are going ...
3 units on Philadelphia +3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Philadelphia at St. Louis
December 18, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
In a "who cares" game between two non-playoff teams, sparks should fly. These teams have nothing of significance to play for and as a result, they are going ...
2 units on Game Total OVER 43 -110
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Kansas City at New York
December 17, 2005
5:00 PM Eastern
The Chiefs rank tops in the league in yards per game at 391. They are averaging over 6 per play which ranks only behind the Rams. And, they can put up points...
2 units on Game Total OVER 46.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Week 14 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
New Orleans at Atlanta
December 12, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
While I've bashed the Falcons here many a time, surprise surpise - I'm taking 'em tonight! Atlanta's off a crushing 24-6 home defeat to the Panthers that dro...
1 unit on Atlanta -10.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
San Francisco at Seattle
December 11, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
This game qualifies as the "line can't be big enough" game of the week. While San Francisco has had a few surprise games this year, for the most part they've...
1 unit on Seattle -15.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Washington at Arizona
December 11, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
I was on both Washington and Arizona last week. I stated that Washington's a pretty good ballclub and they exposed the weak Rams. I was on Arizona, too, agai...
2 units on Washington -3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New England at Buffalo
December 11, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
The lone underdog pick this week will again make some nervous. Last week we faded New England laying 10 points to the Jets. New England won by 13, covering -...
1 unit on Buffalo +3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Tampa Bay at Carolina
December 11, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Carolina is a top 10 team this season while Tampa Bay is... well... not. Tampa has a great defense but Carolina is much more balanced and explosive. Carolina...
2 units on Carolina -5.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 13 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
New York at New England
December 4, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
I'm 5-1 this season picking New England games. Here's another one I like because the spread is again out of whack. This Patriots team should not be laying 10...
2 units on New York +10 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Arizona at San Francisco
December 4, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
The league's worst offense gets their rookie back. Alex Smith will take the helm but it doesn't matter. San Francisco is horrible no matter who is behind cen...
1 unit on Arizona -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Washington at St. Louis
December 4, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
St. Louis has been bad on the road for a while now. But, in years past, you could count on them being tough at home. Not this year as they are just 2-3 ATS o...
1 unit on Washington -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
December 4, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Pittsburgh's got to be disappointed after their performance on Monday Night. Big Ben definitely looked rusty. After facing the league's best team, things get...
1 unit on Pittsburgh -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Minnesota at Detroit
December 4, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
If you listen to the media "experts" and the guy at the watercooler this week, the Lions have absolutely no shot here. Well, it kind of makes sense, right? T...
3 units on Detroit +2 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 12 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Pittsburgh at Indianapolis
November 28, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
Well, we were on the wrong side of the Indy game last week. Against the Bengals, we thought the home dog would keep it close and in the end, Indianapolis cov...
1 unit on Pittsburgh +8.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Pittsburgh at Indianapolis
November 28, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
Well, we were on the wrong side of the Indy game last week. Against the Bengals, we thought the home dog would keep it close and in the end, Indianapolis cov...
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 47.5 -110
See Full Write Up
New Orleans at New York
November 27, 2005
8:30 PM Eastern
It takes a team as bad as the Jets to force the linesmakers to favor the Saints on the road. How crazy is this? New Orleans is 2-8 and losing by over ten poi...
2 units on New York +1.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Jacksonville at Arizona
November 27, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
The Jags have found some offense (finally). They've topped 30 points two weeks in a row now. Arizona won as a big underdog last week. We knew they were in a ...
2 units on Jacksonville -3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Miami at Las Vegas
November 27, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
The Dolphins have hit rock bottom so it's time to back them here. They've dropped three straight and six of seven. They were shut out 22-0 last week by a med...
2 units on Miami +7 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New England at Kansas City
November 27, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
We've selectively gone against New England a few times this season with great results. Here's another good opportunity as we lay just three with a good team ...
2 units on Kansas City -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
San Francisco at Tennessee
November 27, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Reggie Bush and Matt Leinart probably care more about this game than 99% of the public. The loser probably gets the first pick in the draft and if it's Tenne...
2 units on Tennessee -7.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
St. Louis at Houston
November 27, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
When will everyone figure this out? The Rams are horrible on the road. They are 1-4 SU and ATS this season away from home. Dating back to last year, they are...
2 units on Houston +4 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
Max Plays are 1234-1054 (54%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$151,660
Denver at Dallas
November 24, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
Denver is sure impressive this year and it takes some cajones to go against them right now. But, this is the time. Denver is coming off a nationally televise...
2 units on Dallas +2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Atlanta at Detroit
November 24, 2005
12:30 PM Eastern
Two home puppies on Turkey day. Can Detroit carve up another kind of bird - a Falcon- on Thanksgiving? I think so! You know I am not a big fan of the Falcons...
2 units on Detroit +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 11 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Minnesota at Green Bay
November 21, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
Minnesota has put a little of the turmoil behind themselves with two straight wins. The last win was a huge upset as they beat the Giants on the road as 9.5 ...
3 units on Green Bay -6 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Indianapolis at Cincinnati
November 20, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
Two years ago Cincinnati hosted a 9-0 team in a game in which the Bengals were posted as 6 point underdogs. Sound familiar? I absolutely loved the Bengals in...
5 units on Cincinnati +6 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Arizona at St. Louis
November 20, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
The first of my three Sunday dogs. This week is the first one all season that I feel like we are really getting value on multiple underdogs and this Arizona ...
2 units on Arizona +9.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New Orleans at New England
November 20, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
New England showed grit again, winning last week in a game they could have lost. That's the Belichick / Brady difference. Without those two guys, the Pats wo...
1 unit on New Orleans +10 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Week 10 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Dallas at Philadelphia
November 14, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
The T.O. saga is (almost) finally behind the Eagles. But, without him on the field, what chance do these guys really have? They will be better off without hi...
3 units on Dallas +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
St. Louis at Seattle
November 13, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
Ahhh, I wait for these opportunities. Backing a good team at home against the Rams. St. Louis simply does not perform well on the road. They are 1-3 SU and A...
3 units on Seattle -6.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Kansas City at Buffalo
November 13, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
This Chiefs team is feeling good about themselves after their last-second gutsy win over the Oakland Raiders last week. Priest Holmes is out, but no matter. ...
1 unit on Kansas City +2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Minnesota at New York
November 13, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
I know. Nine and half is a lot of points. But, in this game, not enough. We were on Minnesota last week as they were in a good situation. The team rallyed af...
3 units on New York -9.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Washington at Tampa Bay
November 13, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
The Skins have beaten Chicago, Dallas, Seattle and Philadelphia. As stated in these pages multiple times this season, this team is damn good. Tampa Bay used ...
1 unit on Washington -1 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 9 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Indianapolis at New England
November 7, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
Indianapolis is 0-4-1 ATS the last five in Foxboro. The Pats have beaten Peyton Manning 10 of 12 times and the Colts are 0-9 at New England since 1996. New E...
1 unit on Indianapolis -4 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Philadelphia at Washington
November 6, 2005
8:30 PM Eastern
I'll always take a close hard look at teams that got embarrased the way Washington did last week. If it's not a horrible team, they are often worth a look. N...
1 unit on Washington -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New York at San Francisco
November 6, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
My one pick this week in which I am going with the seemingly "obvious" public choice. The G-Men won 36-0 last week fueled by the emotions surrounding the dea...
1 unit on New York -11 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Atlanta at Miami
November 6, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
We've banked a lot on taking the Dolphins selectively this season, including last week. Here's another opportunity. The theme this week, as you know, is "fal...
2 units on Miami +2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Carolina at Tampa Bay
November 6, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Contrarian pick here that sets up very nicely. These two teams are almost EXACTLY mirror images of themselves. The Panthers have seemed like world-beaters la...
3 units on Tampa Bay +1.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Detroit at Minnesota
November 6, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Culpepper is out. Good. Can't get any worse. He's playing as bad as we was a couple of years ago and that's pretty bad. In 2005, he'll be remembered for thro...
1 unit on Minnesota +1 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Houston at Jacksonville
November 6, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Similar to the Carolina/Tampa Bay game, this matchup was set up perfectly based on last week's results. Houston notched their first win of the season, an ups...
5 units on Jacksonville -13 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 8 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
October 31, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
The is a big line and it has moved from -10 to -11.5 over the past day. Why is it so big and moving so much? Well, Pittsburgh is a top-level team and Baltimo...
3 units on Pittsburgh -11.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Buffalo at New England
October 30, 2005
8:30 PM Eastern
My sole losing pick on Sunday last week was Buffalo. Felt good about it going in as I felt Buffalo was better than Oakland going into the game. Coming out of...
5 units on Buffalo +9 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Tampa Bay at San Francisco
October 30, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
Last week we faded San Francisco, backing Washington as a 12.5 point favorite. For an underdog guy, I had to think long and hard about that pick. But, everyt...
4 units on Tampa Bay -10.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Miami at New Orleans
October 30, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
Another stadium for the Saints but same expected outcome - bad play. Without Duece McCallister, their best player, the Saints are not a good team. And, the K...
2 units on Miami +2 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Arizona at Dallas
October 30, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Ouch. That Dallas loss last week hurt. It doesn't get much more boneheaded than that for Drew Bledsoe. The good news is that they played Seattle VERY tough o...
3 units on Dallas -9 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Cleveland at Houston
October 30, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Pinch me. The winless Texans are favorites. Trap? I don't think so. Some things in life are just wrong and this is one of them. Cleveland is bad but Houston ...
2 units on Cleveland +2 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Green Bay at Cincinnati
October 30, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Last week's outcomes were a great setup for this game. One of the top two teams in the league in my book (Cincinnati) got pummeled as a favorite while a real...
2 units on Cincinnati -9 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Jacksonville at St. Louis
October 30, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Said it all season - St. Louis isn't very good. As a result, this overrated club is 2-5 ATS so far this year. They beat New Orleans last week thanks in part ...
2 units on Jacksonville -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
Max Plays are 1234-1054 (54%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$151,660
Minnesota at Carolina
October 30, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Minnesota won last week. Whop-tee-do. Pardon my french but, they still suck. Don't let last week's last-second win over a terrible opponent fool you. All tha...
1 unit on Carolina -7.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Washington at New York
October 30, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
You win 52-17 to push your record to 4-2 and you find yourselves as an underdog. Love it. The Skins are for real folks and they are getting (much) better eve...
2 units on Washington +2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 7 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
New York at Atlanta
October 24, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
The big favorites have been coming through this year in record numbers. Yesterday's covers by both Indianapolis at -15 and Washington at -13 (my first big fa...
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 40.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Baltimore at Chicago
October 23, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
While I picked the Bears last week, I must admit I had no idea they'd win by 25 points! It was the only game that we could really sit back and not stress abo...
1 unit on Chicago -1 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Buffalo at Las Vegas
October 23, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
Oakland may be without the services of Randy Moss here. If Moss plays, this spread is only a bit off. If he doesn't, Buffalo should be favored by a field goa...
1 unit on Buffalo +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Los Angeles at Philadelphia
October 23, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
You heard it here in this newsletter last week. San Diego is for real! They are only 3-3 but as discussed last week, they are the best team with that record ...
3 units on Los Angeles +3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
San Francisco at Washington
October 23, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
The Wunderdog laying 12.5 points? Has he gone mad? Maybe, but maybe not. I have been playing more favorites this year than normal but so far they have been v...
3 units on Washington -12.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 6 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
St. Louis at Indianapolis
October 17, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
I've been talking all year about how bad the Rams really are and oddsmakers seem to have finally figured this out. They are in for a tough game tonight as th...
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 51.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Los Angeles at Las Vegas
October 16, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
When will everyone catch on? The Chargers are a VERY good ballclub and Oakland is not. A 2-3 team very good? Yes! San Diego lost game one to Dallas - barely ...
2 units on Los Angeles -2 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New York at Buffalo
October 16, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
The Jets pulled out a squeaker last week against the Bucs, who are starting to look more and more overrated the last three weeks. Vinny looked good, or good ...
2 units on Buffalo -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Carolina at Detroit
October 16, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
This game has moved from pick to Detroit minus one. Wrong direction. After a rough start, Carolina is back above .500 and grooving on offense. Steve Smith's ...
1 unit on Carolina +1 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Cleveland at Baltimore
October 16, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Cleveland's win over Chicago last week impressed me a lot. Chicago is not a bad team and their defense is great. Yet, Cleveland put up 20 points as Trent Dil...
1 unit on Cleveland +6 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Minnesota at Chicago
October 16, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Chicago was closer than the final score would imply last week against Cleveland. The Browns played extremely well, especially late in the game. The Bears are...
2 units on Chicago -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New York at Dallas
October 16, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Dallas is coming off a dismantling of the mighty Philadelphia Eagles. They are a solid team, for sure. But, my oh my - our memories are short. The decisive w...
3 units on New York +3.5 (-110)
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Washington at Kansas City
October 16, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Washington showed they can play cross-conference opponents in a hostile environment tough on the road last week. We backed them as they covered the 7 point n...
3 units on Washington +6 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
Max Plays are 1234-1054 (54%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$151,660
Week 5 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Pittsburgh at Los Angeles
October 10, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
No one hotter than the San Diego Chargers right now. After a rough start, they've delivered two straight blowouts. Last week they beat the Super Bowl champs ...
2 units on Pittsburgh +3 (-110)
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Cincinnati at Jacksonville
October 9, 2005
8:30 PM Eastern
The Bengals staved off the letdown last week to improve to a perfect 4-0. They overcame 14 penalties in that game. They'll need to cut down those mistakes bu...
1 unit on Cincinnati +3 (-110)
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Washington at Denver
October 9, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
After a horrible start in Miami, the Broncos are playing playoff-quality ball thanks to solid defense. They squeaked past San Diego, blew out Kansas City and...
1 unit on Washington +7 (-110)
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Chicago at Cleveland
October 9, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Are the Cleveland Browns really posted as a favorite? Pinch me. Yes, the Bears offense has issues. Kyle Orton has looked like, well, a rookie. But, he's now ...
2 units on Chicago +3 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
New Orleans at Green Bay
October 9, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
We took the Pack on Monday night when it seemed crazy to back them. They covered and now we think it's time to go against them. The primary reason we took th...
2 units on New Orleans +3 (-110)
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Seattle at St. Louis
October 9, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
St. Louis is 1-3 yet for some reason people still don't get it. They are favorites despite the obvious fact that they are not very good. They've played one g...
2 units on Seattle +3 (-110)
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Tennessee at Houston
October 9, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Again, another curious line to me. In many of the games this weekend it's as if the oddsmakers said "Well, they're about even - let's give the home team thre...
1 unit on Tennessee +3 (-110)
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Week 4 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Green Bay at Carolina
October 3, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
Have we not all learned? Last week everyone thought Tampa Bay would crush the Packers. They did not. This week, the public was all over some large favorites ...
2 units on Green Bay +7.5 (-110)
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Dallas at Las Vegas
October 2, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
As I always say, the public is wrong. This is why most bettors lose and sportsbooks laugh to the bank. Last week we knew the public was all over Philadelphia...
4 units on Dallas +3.5 (-110)
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Philadelphia at Kansas City
October 2, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
We went against the Eagles last week due to situation. They were ripe for a big letdown and the scene played out perfectly as they nearly lost outright as a ...
2 units on Philadelphia +2 (-110)
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Los Angeles at New England
October 2, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Two teams that needed a win last week did. New England went into Pittsburgh and silenced the critics, winning as an underdog (solidifying in many people's mi...
2 units on Los Angeles +5.5 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Seattle at Washington
October 2, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Why is Washington favored here? Yes, they can play defense but they have no offense to speak of. They've scored two offensive touchdowns so far in their firs...
1 unit on Seattle +2 (-110)
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Week 3 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
New York at Los Angeles
September 25, 2005
8:30 PM Eastern
Are the Giants for real? The bookmakers don't seem to think so. I, on the other hand, think they have shown a lot thus far. Eli Manning is looking like Peyto...
1 unit on New York +5.5 (-110)
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Arizona at Seattle
September 25, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
Arizona is 0-2 but they rank in the top 10 in the leauge in both offense and defense and they outgained St. Louis 409-324 last week. Poor clock management as...
1 unit on Arizona +6.5 (-110)
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Dallas at San Francisco
September 25, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
Sensing a theme here? San Francisco loses by 39 points last week. Time to fade them here, right? Just the opposite. They are getting nearly a touchdown at ho...
1 unit on San Francisco +6.5 (-110)
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Las Vegas at Philadelphia
September 25, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
All's well in Philadelphia as T.O. and McNabb are laughing like good ole buddies again. The Eagles crushed San Francisco last week 42-3. But who cares? After...
1 unit on Las Vegas +8.5 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
Tampa Bay at Green Bay
September 25, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Green Bay getting 3.5 at home vs. the Bucs. Hard to believe this would be the case before the season started. But, after two games, the Pack are 0-2 SU and A...
1 unit on Green Bay +3.5 (-110)
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Week 2 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
New Orleans at New York
September 19, 2005
7:30 PM Eastern
We got the win on New Orleans as a big underdog last week. We knew that their emotions (and a solid team) would help them to a victory. Will those emotions s...
2 units on New Orleans +3.5 (-110)
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Kansas City at Las Vegas
September 18, 2005
8:30 PM Eastern
Look out. If Kansas City can continue to play aggressive swarming defense like they did in week one, they are Super Bowl bound. We know they have the offense...
1 unit on Kansas City -1.5 (-110)
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Los Angeles at Denver
September 18, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
Hard to believe that one of these two teams is going to be 0-2 after this week. Both were expected to have good seasons. Both lost as 5 point favorites last ...
1 unit on Los Angeles +3 (-110)
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Miami at New York
September 18, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
Maybe the Dolphins got lucky last week. Maybe the Jets loss was strictly due to their fumbles and turnovers. Then again, maybe not. This is not last year's D...
1 unit on Miami +6.5 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
St. Louis at Arizona
September 18, 2005
4:05 PM Eastern
Last week when we went against the Rams I said I will take them sparingly this year and not often on the road. Well, here we go. I like the Rams in this one....
2 units on St. Louis +1 (-110)
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Baltimore at Tennessee
September 18, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Tennessee showed us a lot last week. Their defense IS that bad and their offense IS NOT that good - yet. Norm Chow will get this offense performing better bu...
2 units on Baltimore -3.5 (-110)
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Detroit at Chicago
September 18, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Many were surprised by Detroit's win over Green Bay last week. Is Detroit that good or is Green Bay that bad? Hard to say at this point in the season but one...
1 unit on Detroit -2 (-110)
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Week 1 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,953
2,650
+157.10
Philadelphia at Atlanta
September 12, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
This is an important game for the Philadelphia Eagles. If they win in convincing fashion, it will go a long way towards them putting the TO problems behind t...
1 unit on Atlanta +1 (-110)
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Arizona at New York
September 11, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
My favorite picks are few and far between but I like this one. In week one, home favorites of 3 or less hit at about a 70% clip against the spread. While muc...
1 unit on New York -2.5 (-110)
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St. Louis at San Francisco
September 11, 2005
4:15 PM Eastern
Here we get the public's whipping boy against one of the most overrated teams in the league. Offensively, the Rams will be as good as always. But, their defe...
1 unit on San Francisco +6 (-110)
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Chicago at Washington
September 11, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Joe Gibbs had a bad year last year and some are questioning whether the great one can return to his once dominant form. His team is instilled as six point fa...
1 unit on Chicago +6 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2953-2650 (53%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$157,100
New Orleans at Carolina
September 11, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
Think the Saints will be playing their hearts out for New Orleans (former) residents on Sunday? I sure do. Don't be surprised if the Saints get as big an ova...
1 unit on New Orleans +7 (-110)
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Tennessee at Pittsburgh
September 11, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
The pressure is right where Steelers coach Bill Cowher does not want it to start the season. This game rests on Ben Roethlisberger's shoulders as both Duce S...
1 unit on Tennessee +7 (-110)
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Tennessee at Pittsburgh
September 11, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
The pressure is right where Steelers coach Bill Cowher does not want it to start the season. This game rests on Ben Roethlisberger's shoulders as both Duce S...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 40 -110
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Budapest Honved vs. KS Flamurtari Vlore
September 8, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
I know I'm gonna take some grief for this pick. But, that's the point. The public is definitely on the World beating New England Patriots. It's hard to pick ...
1.1 units on Game Total OVER PICK 0
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Recent Performance
NFL
Max Plays are 1234-1054 (54%)
Last 23.3 years
Over the last 23.3 years
+$151,660
Las Vegas at New England
September 8, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
I know I'm gonna take some grief for this pick. But, that's the point. The public is definitely on the World beating New England Patriots. It's hard to pick ...
1.1 units on Las Vegas PICK (0)
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Denver at Arizona
September 2, 2005
10:00 PM Eastern
Denny Green has his team at 3-0 this preseason but they'll end on a down note. Denver had a nice win last week and will ride that momentum to a cover here. T...
2.2 units on Denver PICK (0)
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Kansas City at St. Louis
September 2, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
We bucked the "go against Mike Martz in the preseason" rule last week for good reason, which you read about. It worked. Now we're back to normal. Martz is ty...
1.1 units on Kansas City PICK (0)
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San Francisco at Los Angeles
September 1, 2005
10:00 PM Eastern
Another big juicy line here that we'll jump ALL over. San Francisco has done better than San Diego this preseason. They come in at 2-1 SU and 3-0 against the...
3.3 units on San Francisco PICK (0)
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Recent Performance
NFL
Free Picks are 240-162 (60%)
Last 14.9 years
Over the last 14.9 years
+$85,940
Cleveland at Chicago
September 1, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
The public still doesn't get it with Cleveland. Yes, they will be horrid in the regular season. But this is not the regular season. They have been money thus...
2.2 units on Cleveland PICK (0)
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Green Bay at Tennessee
September 1, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
After an eek-out win in week one vs. San Diego in which Green Bay scored 10 points, they have really stunk it up the past two weeks. They scored 7 against Bu...
2.2 units on Green Bay PICK (0)
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New York at New England
September 1, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
The G-Men are on a roll and present good value at +5.5. Underdogs who are off a couple of bad years in the regular season do well in the preseason. And, unde...
2.2 units on New York PICK (0)
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Atlanta at Miami
September 1, 2005
7:30 PM Eastern
Nick Saban hasn't shown he can win in the preseason. His team is 1-3 yet they are favored by over a field goal in this game. Jim Mora Jr., on the other hand ...
2.2 units on Atlanta PICK (0)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Preseason Picks are 445-386 (54%)
Last 22.0 years
Over the last 22.0 years
+$37,240
St. Louis at Detroit
August 29, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
Don't normally like backing Mike Martz in the preseason. He's just 9-14 since his start in St. Louis including 1-1 this year and 1-3 in 2004. But, luckily he...
2 units on St. Louis +4 (-110)
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Houston at Dallas
August 27, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
Neither of these teams can score. Houston is averaging 16.5 per game and Dallas is worse at 14.5. They are both playing pretty good defense too. Houston has ...
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 38 -110
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Indianapolis at Denver
August 27, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
Tempted to take Denver here as you just know they want this one for obvious reasons. But, as a favorite, not so sure. In either case, I think this one's gonn...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 44.5 -110
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Arizona at Las Vegas
August 26, 2005
9:30 PM Eastern
Yes, Oakland has lost two straight-up and ATS. Normally I like to back such teams as the public is usally against them. But, not here as Oakland finds themse...
1 unit on Arizona +3.5 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Playoff Picks are 190-152 (56%)
Last 11.1 years
Over the last 11.1 years
+$34,590
Baltimore at New Orleans
August 26, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
New Orleans has allowed 34 and 27 points in their first two games. Baltimore has allowed an average of 18. It's the Raven's offense that's been held down as ...
2 units on Baltimore +2.5 (-110)
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Carolina at Cleveland
August 26, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
Romeo Crennel has demonstrated a desire to win so far in the preseason. Will he let up in week 3 after two wins? Don't think so. As a 3 point dog and a 6.5 p...
2 units on Cleveland +5.5 (-110)
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New York at New York
August 26, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
With Eli Manning on the sidelines, Jessee Palmer, Tim Hasselbeck and Jared Lorenzen shoulder the load for the Giants on Friday night. The Giants lost to the ...
2 units on New York -6 (-110)
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Baltimore at New Orleans
August 26, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
New Orleans has allowed 34 and 27 points in their first two games. Baltimore has allowed an average of 18. It's the Raven's offense that's been held down as ...
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 38 -110
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Recent Performance
NFL
Max Plays this season are 28-18 (61%)
Last 3.8 months
Over the last 3.8 months
+$12,770
Atlanta at Jacksonville
August 25, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
Atlanta lost last week by 3 at home to the Titans, 21-24. Teams off very close home losses go OVER the total in the preseason in their next game over 80% of ...
2 units on Game Total OVER 39 -110
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Dallas at Seattle
August 22, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
Time for a little letdown for Seattle and a "must-win" for Dallas. Did I say must-win in the preseason? Yeah. Well, it's a bit tongue-in-cheek. Of course it'...
1 unit on Dallas +3 (-110)
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San Francisco at Denver
August 20, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
It's not often that you see 7 point underdogs in the preseason. Denver, coming in off a win against Houston, looked impressive. But, as mentioned above, beat...
2 units on San Francisco +7 (-110)
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Arizona at Kansas City
August 20, 2005
8:30 PM Eastern
Look out. Kurt Warner is back and he's got a receiving corp that rivals the one he had during his Super Bowl years in St. Louis. He's also a man on a mission...
2 units on Arizona +4.5 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks this season are 17-12 (59%)
Last 20 days
Over the last 20 days
+$4,450
Carolina at New York
August 20, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
Tom Coughlin's another 1-3 guy from 2004 while John Fox and company went 4-0 last year and put up an impressive 28-10 victory in their first game this year. ...
1 unit on Carolina +1 (-110)
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Las Vegas at Houston
August 20, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
Norv Turner won 3 of 4 last year in the preseason while Dom Capers went 1-3. Capers is one of the worst coaches to back in the preseason as he's now 9-17 SU ...
1 unit on Las Vegas +1 (-110)
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Green Bay at Buffalo
August 20, 2005
6:00 PM Eastern
Another line that's too high for the favorite. Usually lines fall in the -3 to +3 range in the preseason so when we can get nearly double that on a dog, we n...
1 unit on Green Bay +5.5 (-110)
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Cleveland at Detroit
August 20, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
I understand that everyone thinks Cleveland is about the worst team in the league. But should the Detroit Lions really be laying 6.5 to anyone in the preseas...
1 unit on Cleveland +6.5 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
Free Picks this season are 9-6 (60%)
Last 3.8 months
Over the last 3.8 months
+$1,410
New Orleans at New England
August 18, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
This line has moved from +4 down to +3 but I still like it. Why has it moved? Primarily because New Orleans will be playing starters for three quarters while...
1 unit on New Orleans +3 (-110)
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New York at Cleveland
August 13, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
In Tom Coughlin we have yet another coach who uses the preseason as it was intended - to evaluate players. He went 1-3 last year during the preseason. Also, ...
1 unit on Cleveland +3 (-110)
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Miami at Jacksonville
August 13, 2005
7:30 PM Eastern
Both Ricky Williams and Nick Saban worked out a few kinks on Monday night and that'll give them an advantage in their second game. Both can relax now that th...
1 unit on Miami +3.5 (-110)
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Chicago at St. Louis
August 12, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
Chicago and Lovie Smith showed me someting on Monday night as they came back to beat the Dolphins in a high-scoring affair. This is a team, after the season ...
1 unit on Chicago +3 (-110)
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New England at Cincinnati
August 12, 2005
7:30 PM Eastern
The Pats are all business all the time. They don't take a play off, never mind a full game. True to form, Belichick always has his team prepared - starters a...
1 unit on New England +2.5 (-110)
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