New York at New England

I'm 5-1 this season picking New England games. Here's another one I like because the spread is again out of whack. This Patriots team should not be laying 10 points to anyone right now. They've only layed this many one other time - to New Orleans two weeks ago. We were on the Saints in that one and they covered. Lots of similarities here. A horrible team struggling in every facet of their game limps into New England. In years past you could bet the house on the Pats at home, especially against bad teams. But, this year, New England is just 1-4 ATS at Foxboro! They are 3-4 ATS as favorites. They are allowing 3 points more per game than they are scoring. Their defense is worse than every other team in the league, save San Francisco. And, they have no running game. Granted, Tom Brady and Bill Bellichick have been amazing to win six games this season, with all the injuries and defections. But, they should not be laying 10 points - not to the Jets and not to anyone. I won't even go into the Jets here as I don't need to. This is strictly a play against a subpar team laying double digits. Two stars on the Jets to score enough to keep this one within reach.