New York at Cleveland

In Tom Coughlin we have yet another coach who uses the preseason as it was intended - to evaluate players. He went 1-3 last year during the preseason. Also, we get to back a home underdog against this "poor record" coach which is usually a profitable venture. Add into the mix that new coaches such as Romeo Crennel tend to like to impress the home crowd by starting off on a positive note. As home underdogs, brand new coaches fair very well. Why? They want to get fans and the media on their side early and want to avoid an early home stinker at all costs. Last year this situation only came up once as Denny Green found his team a 3-point underdog at home against Oakland in week 3 of the preseason. His team lost the game by a point but covered the spread. Over the past ten years, this has been one of the most reliable predictors, hitting at about 75% against the spread. One star on the Browns here.