This pick was released to clients on July 12, 2012 at 6:06PM ET.
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Cincinnati at Jacksonville

October 9, 2005
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Bengals staved off the letdown last week to improve to a perfect 4-0. They overcame 14 penalties in that game. They'll need to cut down those mistakes but right now this team is clicking and we're glad to catch them as a dog. Jacksonville's offensive line is giving up sacks in bunches and Cincy's coming off a 7 sack performance agains the Texans. It will be interesting to see how the high-flying Cincinnati passing offense fares against the league's 2nd best pass defense. One thing is for sure - Carson Palmer is feeling it. He's thrown for over 1,000 yards and 9 touchdowns already through 1/3 of the season. Last year's benching of John Kitna to get Palmer ready now seems like a brilliant move by Marvin Lewis. Underdogs who have rushed for under 100 yards in two straight games facing an opponent that gave up 175+ rushing yards last game cover the spread 73% of the time. Check out my computer simulation in this one. One star on the still surging and undefeated Cincinnati Bengals.

1 unit on Cincinnati +3 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
PUSH
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