Denver at Dallas

Denver is sure impressive this year and it takes some cajones to go against them right now. But, this is the time. Denver is coming off a nationally televised pasting of the Jets 27-0. Just as going into Detroit on Thanksgiving and winning is tough, so is going into Big D and walking away with a W. Denver is beating up on both good and bad teams at home. And, they are taking care of bad teams on the road. But, they really haven't proven themselves on the road vs. good teams. They beat Jacksonville on the road but lost to the Giants this year. Over their last seventeen road games against winning teams, they are just 5-12 ATS. Dallas has a strong committment to the run which will serve them well in this game. They have dominated time of possession, especially at home. This keeps the pressure off of Drew Bledsoe which is key to Dallas winning. It's why the Boys are 7-3 at this juncture. One of those losses was a stupid pass by Bledsoe. That's why you see Bill Parcells stick to the run, even when Julius Jones went down. The key to staying with Denver is to not let them run all over you. Dallas hasn't allowed a 100 yard rusher since week 4. Denver has gotten up on teams early this season and forced them to pass a lot to catch up. Dallas starts very strong, especially on defense so I don't expect that to happen here. Two stars on the Cowboys.