Houston at Dallas

Neither of these teams can score. Houston is averaging 16.5 per game and Dallas is worse at 14.5. They are both playing pretty good defense too. Houston has allowed 18.5 per game while Dallas has held opponents to an average of 11.5! Games with totals in this range featuring non-conference opponents go UNDER about 60% of the time as the teams just don't know each other that well. On top of that, games featuring two teams that are both off upset underdog wins have gone UNDER 20-4 since 1993. The public is overreacting to the Houston win over Oakland and especially the Dallas win over Seattle under the prime-time Monday night lights. They are reading into that that these are good teams and good teams score points, right? This total should be several points lower than it is. As such, we'll take the UNDER for one star.