This line has moved from +4 down to +3 but I still like it. Why has it moved? Primarily because New Orleans will be playing starters for three quarters while New England is planning on using the game to determine their backup QB. Tom Brady is expected only play a quarter, turning the reigns over relatively early to Doug Flutie and Matt Cassel. New Orleans is coming to win in this one. They need confidence going into the season and would like to beat the Champs on national TV. Deuce McAllister was quoted this week as saying "I didn't play worth a crap the last game. So personally, I'm looking forward to Thursday because it gives me an opportunity to get out there and get on the field again after the sorely disappointing game I had." After their loss, the Saints will be hungry while the Champs have nothing to be hungry for. We'll back the Saints here for one star.
This pick was released to clients on July 12, 2012 at 4:24PM ET.
NFL
New Orleans at New England
August 18, 2005
8:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on New Orleans +3 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
WIN
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get my free NFL picks and predictions.
Join 409,391 Subscribers!