img NFL

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

December 4, 2005
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Pittsburgh's got to be disappointed after their performance on Monday Night. Big Ben definitely looked rusty. After facing the league's best team, things get no easier as they now face the Bengals in a must-win division matchup. This game probably decides the AFC North title. The Steelers, who beat the Bengals earlier this year, need this game to avoid falling two games back in the division. They hammered the Bengals earlier in Cincinnati by running right through them. Willie Parker gets the start again for the Steelers. In the first game he racked up 131 yards (Steelers got 221 on the ground total). Carson Palmer has been playing as good as any QB in the league this season. He's had 10 great games out of 11. The one exception was against the Steelers. Palmer has yet to beat Pittsburgh. The big difference here is defense. Pittsburgh boasts the 8th ranked defense and 4th ranked rushing defense. Cincinnati's is in the bottom third of the league. Cincinnati's been rolling but home teams vs. an opponent off two very high scoring home games hit at 67% ATS. Also, teams off very weak offensive performances on the road bounce back very nicely ATS the following game, hitting 65% ATS. I expect Pittsburgh, behind the leadeship of Cowher, to bounce back from their Colts loss in a virtual must-win for them at home and come out on top. One star on Pitt minus the field goal.

1 unit on Pittsburgh -3 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
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