This pick was released to clients on July 25, 2012 at 5:31PM ET.
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Buffalo at New York

January 1, 2006
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Bills pulled off an impressive victory over Cincinnati last week. All of the public squares who laid a couple of house payments on the Bengals now want a piece of Buffalo this week against the lowly Jets. But does Buffalo deserve to be a road favorite here? I don't think so. Buffalo has always matched up pretty well against Cincy and the Bengals were flat. This is a new week. Another reason this line has shifted towards the Bills is the performance of the Jets on Monday night. Everyone in the nation saw the Patriots tear them up. The Jets have been hit hard by injuries but they are still better statistically than Buffalo. Buffalo is ranked last in rushing defense and 29th overall on defense. They are ranked 29th in total offense. Away from home the Bills are 1-6 straight up yet they are the favorite here. Teams off a big upset road win fare very poorly the next week in the NFL. Remember just three weeks ago when the Dolphins went into San Diego as a two touchdown underdog and beat the Chargers 23-21? Well, the next week the Fins hosted these New York Jets laying nine points. They won but did not cover. I like the Jets to play hard at home and get the W. Two stars on New York here.

2 units on New York +1.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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