New Orleans at Tampa Bay

The Bucs rank 8th in the league in scoring defense, 4th in yards per play given up and 2nd in total yards allowed (behind Chicago by only a smidgeon). Think New Orleans is going to produce much offense here? Not with the 5th worst offense in the league. Tampa has something to play for and their defense can be downright mean. They are still feeling a bit like it's "us against the world" and they would like to make a statement heading into the playoffs. I think New Orleans will struggle to reach double digits in this game. Over the past three seasons, The Bucs are 14-3 UNDER vs. losing teams as they just shut them down. This includes a perfect 7-0 UNDER vs. teams that score less than 17 per game (New Orleans is averaging 14.8). They are also 8-1 UNDER off a win this season and 13-5 UNDER when the total is in this range (35.5 - 42). Two stars on the UNDER here.