Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Washington stunned the Lions thanks in large part to Detroit's five turnovers, but now the Commanders have to play at Philadelphia where the Eagles have won 10 of 11 games this season, including 26-18 over the Commanders on Nov. 14. Washington did win the rematch 36-33 in the final seconds, outscoring the Eagles 22-6 in the fourth quarter. The Eagles will keep that in mind this week and they have won four straight (3-1 ATS) since that loss. The Commanders had the third-worst rush defense in the NFL in the regular season and now they have the task of containing Saquon Barkley, who destroyed the Rams defense running for 205 yards, including two touchdowns of 62 and 78 yards. Jalen Hurts was 15 of 20 for 128 yards with no interceptions. Jayden Daniels threw for 299 yards against the Lions, whose defense was missing six starters from earlier in the season. Washington is 6-2 UNDER its past eight January games and Philadelphia is 9-1 UNDER in January. Four of the past six Eagles' Sunday home games have stayed UNDER, and the Eagles have allowed only 13 points per game their past four games. Take the Eagles ATS, and bet the UNDER.

Tonight's primetime game features a showdown between the two best teams in the NFC East. Washington comes off of a 28-27 home loss to Pittsburgh where they blew a 24-14 lead. Washington prefers to run, but the Philadelphia run defense is the fifth-best in the NFL in yards allowed at 100.7 per game. Washington's run defense is 26th, allowing 142.7 yards rushing per contest, plus they're 28th in rushing yards per carry allowed at 4.8, and 23rd on third down (42.1%). Meanwhile, Philadelphia has won five in a row. The Eagles average 176.1 yards rushing, the second-most in the league, while the defense is second in total yards allowed, sixth in points given up (17.9 per game), and 13th on third down (35.78%). The Eagles won both meetings last year, scoring 34 and 38 points. With the wagering value on the home team to extend its win streak, I'm backing Philadelphia on the moneyline.

The Philadelphia Eagles redeemed a disappointing loss to the New York Jets, with a big win vs. Miami 31-17. It was a personal defensive challenge, and the Eagles showed up big. Their defense clamped down on the elite Miami offense and allowed just 244 total yards. I think coming off the different emotions of those last two games, is going to lead to something less than their "A" game. Washington has allowed 33 or more points scored against them in four of their six games. This is a sandwich game with Dallas and Kansas City waiting for Philadelphia. I think Washington can get enough points here to push this game OVER the total, and I don't think they are going to have to score much. Make the play on the OVER.

The teams split last year's meetings with Washington winning the rematch 32-21 as an 11-point road underdog. The Commanders' Sam Howell earned some experience the hard way at Buffalo as he was sacked nine times and threw four interceptions in a 37-3 loss. Philadelphia is playing on a short week after beating Tampa Bay on Monday night and it was the running game that dominated as the Eagles totaled 201 rushing yards. Jalen Hurts completed 23 of 37 passes with two interceptions. Washington has covered five of its past seven road games and they are 13-6-2 ATS their past 21 games after allowing more than 350 yards their previous game. The UNDER is 21-8-1 in the Commanders' past 30 games following a loss of more than 14 points and they have stayed UNDER six of eight after any loss. Philadelphia is 5-1 UNDER versus NFC teams and 6-1 UNDER after totaling more than 150 yards rushing its previous game. The Eagles are 4-11 ATS on Sunday after playing on Monday night. Take the points with the Commanders and the UNDER.