Washington at Philadelphia

Washington is going to take this one right at Philadelphia and run the ball a lot here. RGIII is not the same factor he was a year ago, but his running is improving as his knee improves. The Redskins have really leaned on Alfred Morris the past five weeks. After averaging just 106 yards per game on the ground in their first four games, the Skins have averaged 187 per game over their last five as they have shifted the emphasis. Philadelphia has run the ball better than any team this season (#1 in the league in rushing yards per game), and I think their plan will also be to take it right to Washington on the ground. I think both will have success, but I also think this is going to be a short game, with a less than average number of plays run than a typical NFL game. This is also a divisional game, so the defensive intensity should be at a higher level than normal. We saw Washington play Dallas to a similar total earlier and they couldn't get there, and I think this one will also have trouble. Make the play on the UNDER.