Washington at Philadelphia

The likelihood of RG3 playing here has put a bump in the line, and a bump in the support for the Skins in this game with over 80% of the public siding with Washington. It doesn't hurt things here that the Eagles looked awful on national TV last week, turning the ball over five times, losing to the Bengals by 21 points. Also feeding this line is the fact that the Redskins are looking invincible with their glamorous rookie QB (actually two good looking rookie QBs), and five straight wins with 31+ points scored in four of them. So how can the hapless Eagles have a chance here? Welcome to the NFL where late season home dogs, who are supposed to roll over and play dead against playoff-caliber teams, don't. Since 1989 the last two weeks of the regular season have seen the home dogs cover 57.4% of all games. When you have a home dog in this same situation, revenging a loss of 20 points or more they are 31-15-1 ATS. You can bet the Eagles remember the 31-6 thrashing they took just five weeks ago. And, the Skins remember that easy win too. Under Andy Reid, the Eagles are 12-4 ATS revenging a loss by 21+ points. Washington brings in a woeful 11-26 ATS mark in their last 37 games vs. a losing team.