Washington at Green Bay

The oddsmakers expect Green Bay to rally back this week off their season opening loss at San Francisco. If we learned anything last week in the Pack's first game, it is that Aaron Rogers can move the ball, even without much of a running game. The problem for Green Bay is defense. They simply can't get any stops. As good as their offense is, it looks like the same vulnerable defense from a year ago. The Niners piled up nearly 500 yards of offense last week, scoring 34 points. Green Bay can score enough points here to cover a big number, but the issue is, they can't hold their opponent down enough to run away. Washington has similar issues, as they allowed Philadelphia 33 points in their opener, at home. They will be hard pressed to hold Green Bay to less than that. They also have a duel threat weapon in RG3 that went for over 300 yards in the opener. And, the Green Bay defense showed just how vulnerable they are through the air, allowing over 400 passing yards. Washington is not an easy team to blow out, as just once during the entire regular season a year ago did they get beat by more than one possession. The Pack is 20-7 to the OVER the last 27 times they allowed 30+ in their previous game. They are also 11-3 OVER the past two seasons after giving up 400+ yards the prior game. Under Mike McCarthy, the Pack are 35-24 OVER in all home games and 24-12 OVER after a loss. Play on Washington and take the OVER.