Washington at Buffalo

Washington is having their problems but it it’s worse in Buffalo. The Bills can’t do much right at all (except squeak by Cincinnati two weeks ago) after starting the year 2-0. They are dead last in the league in one of the most important stats: rushing. The Bills are averaging just 57.5 yards per game and 2.5 per rush. That ain’t gonna win games. Road dogs who out-rush their opponents by a significant margin cover the spread about 7 out of 10 times. The Bills also qualify for a negative historical angle that involves home teams that scored less than five points in their last game that is 20-4 ATS including 2-0 this year.