Washington at Tampa Bay

Washington is peaking at the right time as it comes into the postseason on a five-game win streak. The Commanders also are a relatively rested squad after playing their key starters for limited minutes in last week's 23-19 victory over Dallas. Rookie sensation Jayden Daniels has thrown for 3,568 yards and 25 TDs with nine interceptions and has shown great ability in pressure situations. Washington is 5-1 UNDER its past six January games. The Commanders lost to the Buccaneers in Week 1, but that was Daniels' first game of his NFL career, and he has gained a wealth of confidence since. Washington's defense has been better than people give it credit, as the Commanders have allowed 23.9 points their past 10 games and are No. 10 in the NFL in yards allowed and No. 3 in pass defense. This is a high posted total, and Baker Mayfield has thrown 41 TDs, but he has also been picked off 16 times. The Buccaneers struggled to beat the hapless Saints and came from behind with a 14-0 fourth quarter to win 27-19. Tampa Bay allows 22.6 points per game. Take the Commanders on the moneyline and the UNDER.