Washington has won the past two meetings, including 19-13 last year, and it went UNDER by eight points. The Commanders suffered an embarrassing loss to Chicago 40-20 last week, but it was a tough schedule spot as they had gone overtime four days earlier at Philadelphia. Atlanta eked out a 21-19 win over Houston when Younghoe Koo kicked a 37-yard field goal as time expired. Desmond Ridder passed for 329 yards and a TD and ran for a score for the Falcons, who didn't cover the spread for the fourth consecutive game. Despite the win, the Falcons have averaged only 11.3 points their past three games and they are 7-22 ATS their past 29 games as home favorites of 0.5-3.0 points and 5-11 ATS their past 16 games as home favorites overall. Washington has covered four of five as a road underdog and it is 6-2-1 ATS as a dog overall. The Commanders are 13-6-1 UNDER their past 20 games overall and 13-4 UNDER following an ATS loss. Atlanta has gone UNDER nine of 11 overall, including its past three games by an average of 12 points. Take the Commanders as a Max Play buying 1/2 point to +3, and bet this game to stay UNDER the total.
This pick was released to clients on October 13, 2023 at 11:32AM ET.
NFL
Washington at Atlanta
October 15, 2023
1:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Washington +3 (-125) (risk 2 to return 3.6)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 42.5 -109 (risk 1.5 to return 2.88)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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