As underdog bettors, we rarely lay double digits. We did it a couple of weeks ago with our 5-unit play on Jacksonville and we have spotted another opportunity here. There have been some near misses for Tennessee this year. They lost to the Colts by 1 on the road in week six and last week had a 26-7 lead on Baltimore and couldn't hold on in another 1 point loss. There have also been some major blowouts, as they have lost to Jacksonville 37-7, Dallas 45-14, and San Diego 40-7. So which team shows up in Philly on Sunday? We think it's the team that gets blown out. Why do they compete in some games, and yet others don't even come close? Is it random? No way! The answer lies in the defense they go up against. Philly has the top ranked offense, but also have a defense rated #12 in total yards. If you look at Tennessee in its last 8 road games versus a top 12 defense or better you see they score just 9.8 ppg. That doesn't win many games. This year they managed just 7 points to a Jacksonville (defense rated #4). They scored 10 to a Miami defense rated #2. They got 7 vs a San Diego defense rated #8. The 24 points they scored? Two of the TD'S (14 pts), came on their last drive of the game. We see the top ranked offense, playing against the worst defense in the NFL. The average scores in their games when they are playing a defense in the top 12 or better on the road the past 2 years is 30-9! Philadelphia needs this game. They stand at 5-4 but after this 5 of last 6 are vs teams with winning records. This will not be a week off for Philly until they secure the business at hand. Philly blows out the Titans in this game.