Tennessee at New Orleans

We have seen Drew Brees get into one of those zones on several occasions in his career, and last week he single-handedly won the game with an amazing, and NFL record tying, seven TD passes in a 52-49 shootout New Orleans win. The problem is that the Saints' defense is horrid, allowing 29.2 points per game. That's a full touchdown more per game than Tennessee allows. For now Tennessee at least looks to have Marcus Mariota starting at QB. Mariota has thrown nine TD passes in his five starts, and four of the five have topped the total as he has put up over 20 points per game, and could be looking at more vs. a weak Saints secondary. This is a bad spot for New Orleans. Since the turn of the century, they are 15-30-1 ATS at home vs. losing teams. Oftentimes a coaching change gives a team a boost in their first game out. I expect the Titans to overperform here and score a lot, resulting in an ATS and an OVER.