Tennessee at Los Angeles

Tennessee lost RB Derrick Henry, but this is a well-coached team with excellent balance and depth. QB Ryan Tannehill has great weapons in WRs A.J. Brown and Julio Jones and is off a season where he threw 33 TDs with 7 picks. The Titans are currently sixth in the NFL in points scored (28.4 per game), while the defense is eighth against the run and #16 on third down. Tennessee is 7-2 ATS away against teams with a winning home mark, 58-34 ATS in non-conference tilts, and 13-4 ATS versus defenses that allow 5.65+ yards per play. They've done great in the role of an underdog with a 33-30 win at Seattle as a +6.5 dog, a 27-3 win at Kansas City, and a 34-31 victory over Buffalo as a touchdown underdog. Los Angeles is getting overvalued by the public while failing to cover two straight as big chalk against the worst teams in the NFL, Detroit and Houston. Also, NFL favorites that are outgaining their opponents by 0.75+ yards per play are 15-50 ATS after getting 400+ total yards over the last three games. Play Tennessee.