Tennessee at Indianapolis

It's been nearly ten years since the Titans won in Indianapolis. They may or may not get that win, but I am instead looking at the total here. I think it's set too high. The Colts remain decimated by injury. Andrew Luck is out and the Colts are terrible without him. To add insult to injury, Jacoby Brissett is coming off concussion protocol. Marcus Mariotta has regressed, throwing 10 interceptions to just eight touchdowns thus far this season. The Titans are averaging just 22 points per game while Indy has managed just 17.9 per game. In the Chuck Pagano era, the Colts are 18-9 UNDER at home when the total is above 45, including 12-4 to the UNDER when the total is set in this range (45.5 to 49). And, in conference home games, the Colts are 21-9 to the UNDER under Pagano, including 12-2 UNDER vs. division foes. Take the UNDER in this game.