This game is indoors, but even that won't help these offenses. Tennessee has weak QB play and gets no help from the ground game with their top two rushers averaging 3.8 and 3.9 yards per carry. Tennessee ranks #21 in passing and #28 in rushing. Tennessee is 5-2 UNDER the total on the road and the UNDER is 6-1 in the Titans' last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Tennessee can't stop the run so look for Houston (#3 in rushing, #28 in passing) to run a lot, which chews up yards and the clock. Houston lost QB Ryan Mallett to a torn right pectoral muscle in last Sunday's 22-13 loss to Cincinnati and will miss the rest of the season. They go back to Ryan Fitzpatrick, who was benched after guiding the team to a 2-5 stretch where he had eight interceptions and was sacked 20 times. Houston is 4-1 UNDER the total after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game and 6-2 UNDER when following a spread loss, so look for more field goals than TDs. Play the UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on November 27, 2014 at 2:44PM ET.
NFL
Tennessee at Houston
November 30, 2014
1:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 43 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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