Tennessee at Cleveland

Cleveland's got some impressive overall stats, including No. 1 in the NFL in rushing. However, they're 1-1. They've been underachieving (and overvalued) for a while with suspect coaching being a big part of that. Browns coach Kevin Stefanski is 9-18 ATS as a favorite. Tennessee has one of the best coaching staffs in the league on an 11-5-1 spread run, including 13-4 ATS in the first half of the season. This is an excellent matchup for the Tennesee defense that is fourth against the run and second in yards per rush allowed (2.7 per carry). They were No. 1 in the NFL last year in yards per rush allowed (3.4). The Titans were an underdog last week but beat the Chargers, 27-24, in OT, holding Los Angeles to 2-of-14 on third down. Tennessee has an NFL-best mark in games decided by three or fewer points since 2018 under Coach Mike Vrabel. Cleveland is on a 7-9 spread run and is 2-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road. They come off a loss at Pittsburgh as a favorite, 26-22, turning it over 4 times. The Browns are 11-25 ATS after outgaining their opponent by 100 or more total yards. And NFL home favorites like Cleveland after a loss are 34-83 ATS in the first half of the season. Play Tennessee as a Max Play.