Tennessee at Carolina

Carolina ran into a buzz saw at San Francisco last week, but the Panthers are still 4-3 and in second place in the NFC South. Kyle Allen lost his first game in five starts and he'll start this week against Tennessee. Allen hadn't thrown an interception until he was picked off three times by the 49ers' superior pass defense. The Titans are only #16 in passing yards allowed and they were fortunate to beat the Buccaneers when an inadvertent whistle cost Tampa Bay a fumble return. Also, Tennessee took advantage of four turnovers and Jameis Winston threw for 301 yards and two touchdowns. Ryan Tannehill has started two games for the Titans and he has five touchdown passes and two interceptions while throwing for 649 yards. However, Carolina still has the fifth best defense in the NFL in yards allowed even after last week's performance and also fifth in pass defense. It's very common for a team that has been embarrassed to come up big the following game and that's what will happen here. Play the Panthers on the moneyline. Also take the OVER. This total is set low. Yes, Tennessee games are low-scoring, but Carolina's are high-scoring (52 points per game) and this one is in their house. Under Ron Rivera, the Panthers are 21-11 to the OVER in games with a total set between 35.5 and 42. They are also 56-44 OVER under Rivera when playing without extended rest. Also under Rivera, this team is 11-2 OVER vs. good defensive teams like Tennessee (teams allowing 17 or fewer points per game) and 19-7 OVER after scoring 14 or fewer points last game. Back the home team and the OVER.