Tennessee at Buffalo

Tennessee kept it close against Indianapolis before losing 20-17 on a touchdown pass from Joe Flacco to Michael Pittman with 7:27 left on Sunday. The Titans have allowed 22 points per game as they continue to improve offensively, and they depended on the running game, gaining 146 yards on the ground against the Colts. Buffalo escaped with an ugly 23-20 win over the New York Jets on Monday night. It was a penalty-filled game, and the Bills outgained 393-359, including a 52-yard Hail Mary touchdown throw by Aaron Rodgers. Buffalo has been 0-7-1 ATS in its past Week 7 games and 1-5 ATS in its past six October games. The Bills are 3-8 ATS against the AFC South, and Tennessee has gone OVER seven of nine versus AFC East opponents. Buffalo has gone OVER five straight home contests and five in a row as a favorite overall. The Bills have too many injuries on the defensive side to be laying this many points. Take the Titans and the OVER.