Tampa Bay at St. Louis

The St. Louis Rams are off a huge upset win at home against New Orleans in what amounted to the Rams' Super Bowl. They have had a disappointing season at 6-8, but they have played hard down the stretch. They have played five straight games against good teams that all have a winning record. It is going to be very difficult to get motivated for a 4-10 Tampa Bay team after the emotional win, and the five straight games vs. top teams - especially off a big win. That presents a dangerous situation as Tampa Bay was once an 0-8 team, with no reason to play, but have fought hard, and are 4-2 over their last six games. While we have seen the negative impact on Green Bay after losing a QB, we have seen the positive impacts of inserting a competent QB in Tampa Bay in Mike Glennon, who is coming into his own and looking to be the QB of the Bucs' future. The Rams have a long history of falling apart at home against losing teams, having gone a pitiful 17-35-1 ATS in their last 52. Meanwhile, Jeff Fisher is 29-47 ATS in his career as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points including 14-33 ATS at home in that role. Take the Bucs.