Tampa Bay at Seattle

Josh Freeman surprised a few teams when he made his first two starts of the season. His team put up 61 points in those games. Then the film came out and defenses began to make the adjustments resulting in a complete stall of the Tampa Bay offense. The Bucs have managed just 33 points in their last four games (8.25 per game). If we remove those two initial Freeman starts from the equation, this team has averaged just 11.7 points per game in the other eleven games! It hasn't exactly been a banner year for the Seahawks’ offense either as they have had their own struggles. They have failed to top the 20-point mark in nine of their 13 games (69% of the time). The Bucs have improved on the defensive side of the ball. The y have faced some meancing offenses this season including Dallas, Philly, New England, Green Bay and New Orleans. Tampa allowed 33.6 points per game vs. these powerhouses. But, against more mediocre offenses including the Giants, Washington, Buffalo, Carolina, Miami, Atlanta and the Jets, Tampa Bay has given up a very respectable 23.5 points per game. Seattle's resume is similar. Versus high-powered offenses Indianapolis, Arizona, Dallas, Minnesota and Houston, they allowed 33.2 points per game. But against all others, they have allowed just just 14.5 points per game! So we offenses that average 14.6 and 19.2 points per game. And, we have defenses that have given up 23.5 and 14.5 per game vs. comparable offenses. The Bucs have played UNDER to a 50-22 mark the last 72 times following a game where they failed to top the 150-yard mark in passing. The history of these clubs shows that the UNDER is the way to go as their last six meetings resulted in UNDERs.