Tampa Bay at San Francisco

Scoring in the NFL averaged 49.6ppg in 2020, and it is now 43.9 in 2023. The scoring is down and yet the UNDER has gone 84-60-1 ATS. (69-43 ATS since week 3). San Francisco after three straight losses said enough last week, and destroyed Jacksonville 34-3. Tampa Bay played a defensive gem of their own allowing just six points to the Tennessee Titans. Tampa averages fewer than 20ppg but stay competitive because the defense allows fewer than 20ppg as well. The Buc's are 7-2 on the season to the UNDER. San Francisco got its defensive swagger back last week, and I coud see them allowing the limited Buc's offense to very few points. Baker Mayfield is 28-18 to the under in 46 career starts as a dog. Make the play UNDER the total.