Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay is 0-3 ATS its past three games and was fortunate to get by Atlanta 21-15 as the Buccaneers were helped by an awful roughing-the-passer call against the Falcons after sacking Tom Brady. The Buccaneers are not ready to be more than a touchdown favorite on the road even against the Steelers, who were blown out at Buffalo. Brady still has limited options to throw with several receivers and his tight end either questionable or out for this game and Mike Tomlin's teams have bounced back to be 4-0 ATS and 4-0 UNDER their past four games after giving up at least 30 points their previous game. The Bucs have gone UNDER four of their five games this year and they are averaging only 20.6 points and Pittsburgh averages 13.4 points. Kenny Pickett will be more comfortable in his second start after throwing for 327 yards against the Bills and he'll be playing at home. The Bucs are 11-1 UNDER their past 12 games after yielding at least 150 rushing yards their previous game and the Steelers are 10-1 UNDER in Week Six. Take the Steelers and the UNDER.