Tampa Bay at New Orleans

Tampa Bay won both meetings in 2022 and both went UNDER by an average of 10.8 points and five of the past six meetings have stayed UNDER. New Orleans was looking good with a 17-0 lead against Green Bay when Derek Carr went down with a shoulder injury and then the Packers rallied for an 18-17 victory. Carr is week-to-week and Jameis Winston would replace him as he did last week when he was 10 of 16 for 101 yards and no interceptions. The Saints totaled only 77 rushing yards on 22 carries. The Buccaneers lost their first game of the season 25-11 to Philadelphia on Monday night, but they are still #11 in scoring defense allowing 19.7 points per game. Baker Mayfield had his worst game of the season completing 15 of 25 for 146 yards and an interception, but the Buccaneers are 9-1 ATS their past 10 games after accumulating fewer than 250 total yards their previous game. The Saints are 1-4 ATS their past five home games and 1-5-1 ATS overall, 6-0 UNDER versus the NFC South and 7-0 UNDER against all NFC opponents. New Orleans has gone UNDER nine consecutive games overall. Take the Buccaneers and the UNDER.