Tampa Bay at New Orleans

The New Orleans Saints could win the division with some help. Or, they could miss the playoffs entirely with a loss and an Arizona win. The Saints are in the playoffs no matter what if they take care of business against Tampa Bay. They have dominated at home where they are 7-0 but this is just too many points. The Saints' offense has lacked the explosiveness we have seen in the past, with five of their 10 wins havinge come by just one possession. They are just 1-3 in their last four games, having averaged just 16.8 points per game. So, a huge number here could be in jeopardy. The Saints needed a field goal as time expired to slip past the Bucs early in the season, when the Bucs were on their way to a dreadful 0-8 start. Tampa Bay has played much better as QB Mike Glennon continues to advance, and they are 4-3 over their last seven games. New Orleans simply isn't playing very well right now while the Bucs are on the upswing. Tampa Bay has muscled their way to an 18-6 ATS record on the road vs. a winning team in their last 24. The Saints have played well under the line at 1-5 ATS in their last six. In their last 63 home games vs. losing teams, New Orleans is 22-41 ATS. They are also just 26-46 in their last 72 home division games. The number is inflated here. Take the Buccaneers.