Tampa Bay at New Orleans

The New Orleans Saints got off to a disastrous 0-4 start to the season. It looked like it was over and out, but they rallied back to get to 5-5. They looked like a team destined to make a playoffs run, but that all came to a screeching halt over the last three weeks. In three must-win situations, the Saints went winless, losing all three games by double-digits. The reality of the Saints is now obvious - they are a bad team. The line here may look fair, but if the Saints were beaten by 45 points the last three weeks when they were fully invested in the games, how can they possibly have anything left now? The Buccaneers aren't in a much better spot, having also dropped three straight. But, with six wins they still have something to play for. The Bucs have scored 21 points or more for 10 straight games, and suddenly the Saints have not even averaged that over their last three. Tampa Bay has at least as much to offer offensively. Although their defense has not been good, they do get more stops than the Saints who bring up the rear in the NFL, allowing more yards than any other team by over 40 yards per contest. The Bucs have been huge on the road at 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27, which includes 7-2 ATS in their last nine in New Orleans. The Bucs are a better team. Let's not forget that this team was 6-4. They lost three straight but two of those losses came to Atlanta and Denver. There will be a ton of scoring here. Fade the worse defense. The play here is Tampa Bay.