This pick was released to clients on August 15, 2012 at 11:44AM ET.
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Tampa Bay at New Orleans

December 7, 2003
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Last week New Orleans won a game they were supposed to lose and Tampa Bay lost a game they were supposed to win. Tampa hit a new season low, dropping their fourth out of five and falling to 5-7. I expect them to bounce back this week on pride alone. The Saints season continues to be a tale of two teams. After starting the season 1-5, they have climbed to 6-6. But wait. Who have they beaten? Their six wins came against Houston, Chicago, Atlanta, Tampa Bay and Washington, teams with a combined record of just 21-39. The Bucs are 4-2 ATS following an ATS loss this year and they qualify for an 82-37 ATS trend involving losing visiting dogs facing another losing/.500 team that has gone 15-1 ATS over the past three seasons. The Bucs get revenge for their earlier loss to the Saints this week

4 units on Tampa Bay +1.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
WIN
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