Tampa Bay at Los Angeles

First-place Tampa Bay is fighting for a divisional title just one game ahead of the Falcons. QB Baker Mayfield (28 TDs, 13 INTs) leads a balanced offense that is third in the NFL in yards, eighth in rushing, and second on third down (47.17%). The ground attack averages 5.1 yards per carry, the fourth-best in the league. The Bucs have won three in a row and are 4-2 ATS on the road. That included a win at Detroit, 20-16, as a +7.5 underdog, the only loss the Lions have had. Meanwhile, the Chargers have lost two of three, with the offense scoring just 17 points in each of the last two games. This is a difficult matchup for a Los Angeles run defense that ranks 22nd while allowing 4.58 yards per carry. The Buccaneers are on a 19-5 run in regular-season games played in December or January, the second-most wins in the NFL behind the Bills. Play Tampa Bay.