Tampa Bay at Kansas City

Kansas City will look to stay undefeated and it is on an 11-2 ATS run dating to last season although the Chiefs just missed covering against Las Vegas last week winning 27-20 as an 8.5-point favorite. Tampa Bay will be without its top two wide receivers in Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. The Chiefs have allowed more than 20 points just once this season and they are 6-1 ATS after allowing fewer than 250 total yards their previous game, 6-0 ATS after allowing fewer than 90 rushing yards. The Raiders managed to rush for just 33 yards on 21 carries against the Chiefs. The Buccaneers have lost two in a row after losing 31-26 to Atlanta and Baker Mayfield threw for 330 yards with three TDs, but he also was picked off twice. Patrick Mahomes was 27 of 38 for 262 yards and two TDs against Las Vegas and newly-acquired DeAndre Hopkins figures to be more of a factor after catching two passes last week. The Bucs are just 11-19 ATS the past three seasons in games played on grass fields, 8-12 ATS after a home game, 7-12 ATS after a loss and 5-10 ATS vs. teams scoring 24+ points per game. Lay the points on the Chiefs.