Another very low total here based on last week's performance. Jacksonville lost last week 10-17. Tampa Bay is off two games averaging 21 TOTAL points per game. But, we easily forget that Jacksonville was party to a 31-26 shootout in week one vs. Miami. Horrible offensive teams like Tampa Bay (13 PPG) when facing average defensive teams like Jacksonville, go OVER at an 86% clip in the preseason. This total has shrunk down too much. I expect Tampa's starters, seeing extended action, to put up some points here to bust out of their funk. John Gruden likes to win in the preseason. He's 14-7 coming into this year. Coming off his loss to Miami, scoring just 10 points, I believe will motivate him to push his team to do better this week. Jacksonville is also motivated to improve their offense. Last week David Garrard had an awful showing vs. Carolina (86 yards 2 INTs and 3 fumbles). Leftwhich owns the #1 spot and I expect to see a decent amount of him this week, and thus better production and more points. Over the low number here.
This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 6:01PM ET.
NFL
Tampa Bay at Jacksonville
August 26, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER 34 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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