Tampa Bay at Indianapolis

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers scored 45 points last week, and it was the first time a Tampa Bay team has scored 45 points or more points in a game since 2003. It was also the third time they have done so in the last 14 years, so I certainly wouldn't expect a repeat, as they were aided by four turnovers. The Colts are simply nowhere close to the offense they were last year - one that saw them topple the 40-point mark five times. This season they have not touched 40 at all, in fact they have not touched 30 points since week three. I think the total here is packing on a few points based on what we saw last week, but I don't think these teams are going to be lighting up the scoreboard this week. Tampa Bay's points gained last week were an illusion and after a game where they win by 14 points or more, they have come back to go 15-6 to the UNDER in their last 21. The Colts own a 7-3 mark to the UNDER in their last 10 on field turf. Take the UNDER in this one.