Tampa Bay at Green Bay

Tampa Bay buried the Packers 38-10 on October 18 but that was at home, not in Green Bay where the forecast for Sunday is temperatures in the mid-20s with snow showers. Of course, Tom Brady knows all about that and has played in terrible weather many times, but the Packers also have a revamped offensive line that dominated the Rams last week. Also, the Packers will need to pressure Brady more in this rematch as he is much less effective than many QBs when having to hurry his throws or scramble. The Packers have won seven in a row and Aaron Rodgers threw two touchdown passes and ran for a score in the 32-18 victory over Los Angeles. The Packers did not allow any sacks while sacking Jared Goff four times. Those will be the keys to beating the Buccaneers. The Packers are 11-4 the past two seasons vs. winning teams including 9-2 vs. elite teams. When facing poor passing defenses like Tampa's, Aaron Rodgers goes off, having gone 21-6 straight-up vs. teams that allow 61%+ completions the past two seasons. The Bucs offense is formiddable, but no worry. In late season play at Lambeau, the Pack are very hard to beat, having gone a perfect 10-0 straight up here in late-season play vs. teams with high-powered offsenses that average 27+ points per game. Under Matt LaFluer, Green Bay is 16-2 as a home favorite and 7-1 when revenging a loss. Green Bay has gone OVER its last three games and the OVER is 6-1 in Tampa Bay's last seven games as a road underdog. Also, the Bucs have soared OVER seven of their last eight after an ATS win. Tampa Bay is 22-10 OVER its last 32 games overall and 25-10 OVER its last 35 road contests. The Packers have gone OVER six playoff games in a row and eight January games in a row. Play the Packers on the moneyline and take this game to go OVER the total.