Tampa Bay at Cleveland

What an interesting game to watch! We can't understand why this isn't the top primetime matchup of the weekend! Well, ok - it's gotta be the worst on the board. But we aren't looking for interesting - we are looking for profitable. It doesn't get much worse than the Tampa Bay offense. Despite their weird outburst for 31 last game, they are still ranked 31st in the league in points scored, 30th in yards per game and dead last in yards per play. Cleveland is bad too but ever so slightly better. They are ranked 30th, 29th and 30th respectively. Cleveland also had a weird 31 point game recently. But take out those two 31 point performances and these two teams are averaging 11 points per game each on offense the past six weeks. The other things point to an UNDER here are numerous. With Gruden as head coach, the Bucs have gone UNDER 25-15 on the road and 28-12 UNDER following a road game. They are also 20-8 UNDER with Gruden at the helm when facing a losing team including 14-2 UNDER vs. terrible teams (under 40% SU). Romeo Crennel is now a perfect 6-0 UNDER as a home favorite. Celveland is on a 10-2 UNDER run in close games (+3 to -3) and 11-3 UNDER after two straight games in which they struggled offensively (scored 17 or less). Look for very little offense here and a very low scoring affair.