Tampa Bay at Carolina

The last four meetings have gone UNDER by comfortable margins and neither team has scored more than 22 points in those four games. Tampa Bay plans to start Ryan Fitzpatrick instead of Jameis Winston, who threw four interceptions against Cincinnati and the Buccaneers still took the game into overtime. Fitzpatrick has thrown 13 touchdowns and five interceptions and Winston has six touchdown passes and 10 picks. Carolina has stayed UNDER two of its last three games, but did defeat Baltimore 36-21 last week. The road team has covered the number the last four meetings and the Buccaneers have covered five of their last six against teams with winning records and they are 18-7-1 ATS their last 26 November games. Also, Tampa Bay is 9-4 ATS its last 13 games after an ATS win going back to last season while Carolina is 1-5 ATS its last six when following a win. The UNDER is 13-6 in the Buccaneers' last 19 November games and four of the last five meetings at Carolina have stayed UNDER. This is a very high posted total considering the history of this matchup, so play the Buccaneers and the UNDER.