Tampa Bay at Carolina

Tampa Bay is still playing hard despite a losing record, losing the last three games by 6, 3 and 3 points. They've lost five games by six points or less. QB Jameis Winston (17 TDs, eight INTs) has tossed 270-plus passing yards in each of his first three games back from a shoulder injury. He threw three TDs and no picks last week in a close loss to Atlanta as a +7 dog. The Buccaneers are 7-2-1 UNDER the total after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. They head to division rival Carolina, a team that has played six games decided by seven points or less. Unlike Tampa Bay, they've won those close games (5-1 record). But the Panthers are a huge favorite here and 6-13-1 ATS after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Carolina offense is #17 in total yards, preferring to run as the passing game ranks #27. The Panthers are 48-30 UNDER the total when facing a team with a winning percentage between 25% to 40%. Carolina won the first meeting in a defensive battle, 17-3, and the Bucs are 40-23 UNDER the total away revenging a loss to an opponent in the same season. And when these rivals clash, the dog has covered six of the last eight, with the UNDER 12-5 when they meet on this field. Take the bundle on Tampa Bay and also back UNDER.