Tampa Bay at Buffalo

The Buffalo Bills have the longest streak of any NFL team of not reaching the playoffs. They have been a model of inconsistency on the field. They are off to a 3-2 start, but the offense has been mostly ugly thus far. They have not passed for over 200 yards in four straight games, nor run for more than 82 but one time since the opener. They have been outgained by each of their last four opponents, and are surviving on a +8 turnover margin, which is likely to even out. When it does, they are going to lose a lot, based on what we have seen from the line of scrimmage so far. Jameis Winston was injured last game vs. Arizona but he is starting in this game. The Bucs have dropped four straight ATS, and I think they are going to come into Buffalo hungry for a win. Marginal winning teams of .600 or less, and playing a losing team often have trouble as they are 35-79 ATS as a favorite from -3.5 to -10. Take Tampa Bay.