Tampa Bay at Atlanta

The Falcons are well rested and focused, coming off a bye while the 3-1 Bucs are overconfident. Yes, TB has had some impressive wins, but against who? Their opponents are a stellar 1-10 straight-up. Last week Baltimore demonstrated that poor teams coming off a bye are great bets. Warrick Dunn will be pumped up in his first meeting against his former team. Vick gets better every week. The spread is bloated here as Atlanta should be a small favorite.