This pick was released to clients on October 03, 2024 at 11:36AM ET.
img NFL

Tampa Bay at Atlanta

October 3, 2024
img8:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Tampa Bay rebounded nicely from a loss to Denver and pounded Philadelphia 33-16 on Sunday as Baker Mayfield threw for 347 yards and two TDs and ran for a score for the Buccaneers. The defense held the Eagles to zero yards of offense while building a 24-0 lead and it had six sacks in the game. Tampa Bay held a 445-227 advantage in total offense yards. The Buccaneers have covered four in a row as underdogs of 0.5-3.0 dating to last season and they are 6-1 ATS as dogs overall. Atlanta is 0-4 ATS its past four games against NFC South teams although it did pull out a 26-24 victory as a 2.5-point favorite last week against New Orleans. Younghoe Koo kicked a 58-yard field goal with two seconds left to win it for the Falcons, who were outgained 366-315. Atlanta has gone UNDER its past seven Thursday games and Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS its past seven in the first of back-to-back road games. The Buccaneers are 8-0 UNDER after allowing fewer than 250 yards their previous game and they have covered eight of 11 overall. The Falcons are 2-8 ATS their past 10 home games. Take the Buccaneers and the UNDER.

1 unit on Tampa Bay +2 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 44 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
O
F
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10
14
3
3
0
30
Atlanta Falcons img
7
10
3
10
6
36
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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