Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Wait a minute. Wasn't Tampa Bay done? They started 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS but have won 2 of their last 3 in both categories since Brian Griese took over at QB. During that span, they are scoring almost 25 points per game. The single ATS loss was by just 1/2 a point. Atlanta's getting too much credit here based on a big win before their bye. Look past that win against Denver and remember their 56-10 thrashing at the hands of the Chiefs. If you can't score more than 10 points against Kansas City, that's cause for major concern in my book. It seems like the public has forgotten that the Falcons have the 29th ranked defense and outside of a game or two, Mike Vick has been mediocre at best. And in that win over Denver, they allowed Jake Plummer to throw for 499 yards. We all know about Tampa's defense. It's again one of the best in the league. But their offense has been ressurected in a way with the insertion of Brian Griese who is playing very well and owns the league's 4th best passer rating. Small visiting dogs when facing a team that has gotten torched two weeks in a row are 66% ATS including 4-1 this year. Also, divisional road dogs of less than 7 when playing a team off a bye hit at about 75% ATS. Bet 220 to win 200 on Tampa Bay plus the points and another 100 to win 155 on the Bucs to win the game outright.