St. Louis at Dallas

Dallas is a puzzling team. When you look at the QB Tony Romo, who has one of the highest career passer ratings in NFL history, and the talent on both sides of the ball, it is hard to believe that this team is just 17-17 in their last 34 games. If not for the gift of six Giants turnovers in their opener, the Cowboys would be 0-2 coming into this game. Sometimes you have to wonder if the coaching staff is not doing a very good job with the level of talent present. They have a new stadium, one in which they should thrive in at home, but they are an ugly 2-10 ATS here in their last 12 games. They don't cover because they are a team that operates on a razor thin margin for error. The last 12 Cowboys' wins show five by 3 points or less, three others by 5 points, and a pair by a TD or less. St. Louis was a pick-6 away from being even with Atlanta on the road, and they out-gained the Falcons for the game. This is a team that is ready to breakthrough as Sam Bradford matures into a bona fide NFL QB. Before Bradford the Rams rarely went for 350+ yard in a game, but since his arrival they are now 10-2 ATS after going for 350+ in their previous contest. Through two weeks, the Rams look like the better team. This one should go to the wire, and the points will be big. Jeff Fisher is 60% ATS in his career as a dog. And, Dallas is a terrible favorite, having gone 7-21-1 ATS since 2010 when laying points. Take the Rams here.