Seattle at New Orleans

Seattle hasn't lost since Week 2, winning at the Jets 27-17 in a pick 'em game, while coming off a tie at Arizona as a dog. This defense keeps them in every game, ranking third in the NFL in yards allowed, fifth against the run and tied for first in points allowed (14 points per game). They face a Saints team that passes all day long, but Seattle has a suffocating secondary, ninth in the league in passing, and a great pass rush. The Seahawks are 9-4 ATS against a team with a losing record. This New Orleans team has a losing record overall and at home. The offense is strong, but this defense is terrible at #29 in yards and dead last in points allowed (32.3 ppg). If they continue to give up that many points, they will go down as one of the worst defenses in NFL history. They've been favored twice this season and lost both games while giving up 35 and 45 points. Seattle's offense will be putting in extra work this week to atone for a terrible performance last week. In their last 25 games after scoring under a touchdown, the Seahawks are 18-7 to the OVER. In the Pete Carroll era, they are 10-2 OVER after a game in which they scored and allowed 14 points or less. Carroll's Seahawks are also 22-11 OVER when facing good offensive tgeams (those scoring 24+ points per game). Meanwhile, New Orleans is 47-31 OVER at home under Sean Payton. Take Seattle on the moneyline and take the OVER.