Seattle at Detroit

Seattle QB Geno Smith (4 TDs, 2 INTs) has played well, including 32-of-44 for 308 yards last week. The Seahawks are 19-7 ATS off a home loss and coach Pete Carroll 51-30 ATS as an underdog, including 22-12 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They're a dog to a rebuilding Detroit squad that has been scoring points but they have a losing record because the defense is as bad as last season. The Lions are #27 in total yards allowed, #26 against the run, and dead last in points surrendered (31 ppg). In last week's 28-24 to Minnesota, Lions' star running back D’Andre Swift (231 yards, 8.6 ypc) was banged up and may not play this week. Detroit is 31-54 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. In addition, NFL home favorites that have losing records are 42-82 ATS after three or more straight spread covers. Play Seattle.