San Francisco at Washington

The San Francisco 49ers offense hasn't quite lived up to the billing this season. One reason is that they have not faced many cupcake defenses. The only team in the bottom seven in points allowed they faced resulted in San Francisco's highest output of the season at 42 points. They have had to face some tough defenses the last two weeks with New Orleans and Carolina. That won't be the case in this one as the Redskins stop unit has allowed an unthinkable 31.1 points per game. Over the past two seasons, San Francisco is a perfect 6-0 ATS vs. teams that allow 24+ points per game. The Niners defense is shoring up, having allowed just 14.3 points per game in their last three. Washington has faced seven teams this season that are .500 or better on the season, and they have been out-scored in these games by 10.6 ppg, going 1-6 in those games with all six losses by 6 points or more. The Niners are the new kings of Monday Night Football at 21-5 ATS in their last 26 such games. This team has roared back after a futile passing game in which they threw for 150 yards or less, going 9-1-1 ATS in their next game. The Niners are 23-13 ATS as a favorite under coach Jim Harbaugh. The Skins are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight within the conference and they are simply overmatched here. Lay the points with San Francisco.