San Francisco at Chicago

The Chicago Bears are not high on many lists regarding 2022 expectations. The Bears did not show much in terms of a home-field advantage last season finishing their home schedule at just 3-5. That gives a look to this game as a San Francisco easy win, but despite the 3-5 overall home record a year ago the Bears were out-scored at home by just 0.5ppg. That tells me this game will be a lot more competitive than it looks, and laying a TD on the road in week 1 is not a desirable position to be backing. Week 1 home dogs of 7 or more have covered 58.3% of all games. San Francisco went the last 6 games a year ago without scoring more than 27 points in any of them. The defense had to step up and win games. This was a team that went 8-4 on the road last year however 6 of those wins were by 1 score, and 5 were by 6 or fewer points. The Bears are getting no love but the line here is inflated for a week one road favorite. Make the play on Chicago.